Record Low Voter Turnout Predicted

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(Sacramento, CA)
Tuesday, November 14, 2006

We won’t know for certain until the vote’s certified next month, but as of right now, according to the Secretary of State’s office, voter turnout is at 48 percent for the election.  That’s likely to increase, but it may not grow enough to break the previous low – four years ago – of just over 50 percent, says Mark DiCamillo, Director of the Field Poll.  He attributes it to the changing demographics of California voters.

"If you look at the two fastest growing voter registration groups in California, they are Latinos and non-partisans. Both of those voting groups are much less frequent voters than older voters, white voters, partisans.”

DiCamillo says he expects low voter turnout to continue.  He estimates that in primary elections in the near future one in three registered voters will cast a ballot…and in general elections that number will be more like one in two.